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🧑 Joe Hardy (he/him) 📍 Eora

👇 writing and photography, mostly about music and culture

For work, I help teams be amazing. You can hire me.
I'm also the creator and co-founder of SydneyMusic.net

Interests: music, community, how people think, photography, social and environmental impact of tech

Things We Learned About LLMs In 2024

11 January 2025 @ 16:32

I'm an AI skeptic, but you can't be against something you don't know or understand.

To that end, Simon Willison's summary of LLM progress over the year of 2024 is incredibly useful. In-depth, well-balanced observations from the evolution of a fast-paced (but still grifter-packed) industry.

I still think that the that-which-is-called-AI industry is on track for a rude and bumpy shock as they realise maybe a Moore's Law-style rate of improvement isn't actually what we're looking at here. Ed Zitron agrees. (less is more Ed, hire an editor)

If that's the case, look forward to a hell of an economic correction: NVIDIA and a bunch of tech stocks are propping up the S&P500. I don't think we talk enough about just how much of a problem this is, but time will tell.


Don't rent culture

11 January 2025 @ 14:52
Final Space: RIP

Big Tech companies are terrible custodians of our cultural artefacts. They exist to collect revenue and attention: they have no interest in the preservation of culture or how their systems might influence or replace existing social fabric. Even worse - what happens when breaking changes are introduced and years and decades of "content" are affected.

Recently my 14-year-old and I were horrified to discover that at some point in late 2023, Final Space got deleted from the internet. While we were separated by the pandemic, we watched every episode of this show together. Our group chat was called "The Chookity-Pok Alliance". This was an important part of our memories. But then Warner Bros. needed to find some tax write-offs, and completely deleted everything to do with the property. There's no opportunity for us to enjoy these memories - it's just gone.

The internet now functions on what is known as "recurring revenue" - it's why everything is a subscription instead of a product that you purchase once. Remember how you could buy a copy of a version of Photoshop and use it forever? Adobe hate that - so they've aggressively moved the business to licensing their software as part of their Cloud subscriptions.

Recurring revenue means that once you've secured a reliable base of users, all you need to do is tweak your unit economics. You can lower your costs - putting downward pressure on your suppliers or "finding efficiencies" (e.g. firing people) - or put your prices up. Tech companies regularly do both - that's why your Spotify or Netflix subscription keeps getting more expensive, and why the service doesn't seem to really change all that much.

If tech companies have a reliable base secured, they'll also do everything they can to water down or erode value for users to make their costs go further - or prioritise opportunities for generating more revenue, even if it works against the user's best interests. Cory Doctorow calls this "enshittification".

Culture (or "content", as Big Tech companies would rather call it) is annoyingly expensive, and it's a black mark on the P&L of any business. So it's not surprising that Spotify is trying to increase the percentage of subscription revenue that they get to keep as profit. See Liz Pelly's astounding deep dive on how Spotify is happy to commission and ingest music that doesn't require them to pay out a per-stream royalty to artists. They're basically commissioning muzak: anodyne recordings designed to represent the most inoffensive reflection of a genre or mood. This after Spotify deigned to tighten their rules around stream payouts - including not paying artists for tracks with less than 1,000 streams.

In the last 10 years, subscriptions have replaced the lion share of your spend on media. Effectively that makes you a renter - you have access to all of the riches of a platform, as long as you keep forking out for the monthly spend. When Netflix was the only game in town, it was amazing: all of this content, for only $15.99? Now we have around 10 platforms, all duking it out over who gets a share of which content libraries. You no longer get the benefit you once had of everything (or a lot of it) on one platform with one subscription.

In order for the platforms to protect their profit, they keep optimising. For the benefit of you, the consumer? Of course not. For the benefit of the creators that they got you start paying for their platform? Dream on. That's why every platform is introducing ads - even for paying subscribers.

In a world where it's likely that you might be paying for 3-5 video streaming platforms (conservatively) and at least a couple of music subscription services... at what point have we reached a tipping point where you're better off paying for media once and then owning it forever?

Especially when your purchasing decisions are far more likely to fairly reward the artists.

Especially when the platform or rightsholder could choose to delete anything you love at any moment.

Buy your music. Buy the video content you want to hang onto. Don't rent culture. We need it to last longer than the platforms do.

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Further reading:


Gerry Beckley Live At The Eveleigh 19/12/24

22 December 2024 @ 09:40
Gerry Beckley Photo by Joe Hardy. Not to be reproduced without written permission.

Founding member of America (the band) sits in at The Eveleigh with Roy Valentine, Matt Haviland and James Valentine early on a Thursday evening.


Single Twin Live At The Dock 1/12/24

18 December 2024 @ 10:36
Single Twin 1/12/24 Cinestill 800T / AE-1

Was a privilege to finally get Single Twin (aka Marcus Teague) back up to Sydney - 12 years since the last show we did together. Here was the last show in 2012. And here was the one prior to that in 2011.


Trim Reaper Live At The Dock, Redfern 03/11/24

17 December 2024 @ 14:24
Matt from Trim Reaper, 03/11/24 Photo by Joe Hardy. Not for reuse without permission. Cinestill 800T / AE-1

Finally got to put a show on with my little brother Mikey for the first time in 12 years - last time we did a live show together was putting on HTRK in Byron Bay at the Great Northern pub back in 2012. Guerre and Colourwaves supported. Wild.

Anyway his new band Trim Reaper I've already talked about here because Caitlin and I did a remix of their track. They're phenomenal live - their new EP is a great distillation of what informs their work, but they're even more muscular and engrossing as live performers.